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TSP Stock Funds Hit With Losses For 2nd Month

Wouldn't it be nice...

HR Specialist
DoD
Wed Aug 1, 2007 12:44 PM

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Wouldn't it be nice to be a smug CSRS employee, confident in the fact that if you want to retire in 5 years, you can and it doesn't really matter, at least directly, how well the stock market is doing. As a FERS employee, when I'm asked when I plan to retire, I always have to condition my answer on the health of the economy, the financial markets, the viability of social security, etc. And, like virtually every other Fed unlucky enough to have begun his/her employment after January 1984, I have to keep reading stories like this that continually and unhelpfully point out the obvious - that if I stick my TSP funds in the G fund, they'll be safe but I'll never have enough to retire or I can stick my funds in the C,S or I funds and run the risk, and lately, the very real risk, that I'll lose most if not all of those funds which means, of course, like before, I won't be able to retire. Hmmm, anyone see a pattern here? Wouldn't it be nice to be a CSRS employee.

Re: Wouldn't it be nice...

analyst
DoD
Wed Aug 1, 2007 3:33 PM
If you invest a small portion of your pay over the long haul in the FERS TSP plan and have the patience to not try to meddle with it all the time based on knee jerk reactions you'll be fine. You can easily retire after 30 years (say age 25 to 55 for instance) with an income of at least as much as your working income. Does CSRS allow you to do that?

Before bad mouthing the FERS program you might want to consider using it properly.

Re: Wouldn't it be nice...

Health Physicist
DON
Thu Aug 2, 2007 8:31 AM
Whoa, it's not the end of the world here. This blip should definetely not keep anyone from retiring as planned. You need to remember that you haven't lost anything until you sell your shares in the TSP. Despite your valid concerns, the C, S and I funds are still up for the year and more importantly, up 16, 17 and 22 percent for the preceeding twelve months. The big picture that you should keep in mind is that the CLOSER you get to YOUR retirement it's important to lessen your potential risk and move to bonds and yes the G fund. If you can't bear to watch these fluctuations on a daily basis, don't. Move your money into one of the L funds and forget it. They'll adjust your positions automatically to lessen your risk based on your time target for needing the money. I'm extremely happy to be a FERS employee with my 5% match. Right off the bat, I'm 5% ahead guaranteed.

Diversify...

Fed
DoD
Wed Aug 1, 2007 12:54 PM

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diversify, diversify!

And that's all ye need know about riding out the market. It happened it Feb, and it's likely happening now. Rule #1: never get excited about stocks.

TSP

IT Specialist
DoD
Wed Aug 1, 2007 1:05 PM

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I switched my TSP into the G fund two days before the drop started since I had lost $4K during the Feb drop . Word kept coming out in the media about the declining mortage companies. This was best for me because I plan to retire in December and want to roll my money over into an IRA. If I had kept it in the C, S, and I fund (which I had my money in) I would have lost approximately $15 this past week which would have been hard to make up by December. I think you have to have a "gut" feeling on what is going on around you since it seems to effect the stock market if anything comes out negative.about the economy. No, I will not get rich in the G fund but I won't have to try to play catch up for the next few months. However, if I had years to go, I would probably "ride the crest".

Re: TSP

Federal Employee
BOP
Wed Aug 1, 2007 2:28 PM
I lost $14,000 in February, but within a couple of weeks I made that back, plus an additional $7,000. I read an article a month or so later that indicated those who moved their money to the G Fund at that time made a critical mistake. Last week I lost $15,400. I've left things as they were (30% C, 35% S and 35% I) and can only hope to have the same results as in February.

Re: TSP

Manager
DOD
Wed Aug 1, 2007 3:36 PM
IT Specialist, if you have all your money in C,S and I less than a year away from retirement then you have an incorrect asset allocation.

Re: TSP

Budget Analyst
DOD
Thu Aug 2, 2007 11:39 AM
You lost fifteen dollars? That's it?

Re: TSP

Admin Asst
DHS
Thu Aug 2, 2007 11:54 AM
Budget Analyst, that's a typo. HR Spec meant $15K. The rest of us figured that out, please try to catch up.

Wouldn't It Be Nice.....

IT Spec
DoD
Wed Aug 1, 2007 2:18 PM

Post Reply

.....You are so right! It is only the FERE's employees who really have to decide every day whether to put itheir TSP (or keep it) in the G, F. C, S or I. We FERE's people are dependent upon the economy to even retire. Yes, it certainly would be nice to be a CSRS employee.....I, myself, missed it by 6 months......

Re: Wouldn't it be nice....

QA Specialist
VHA
Wed Aug 1, 2007 2:34 PM

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I am a CSRS employee. I am also an avid investor in both the TSP as well as my own portfolio. No matter whether you are CSRS or FERS, we all need to watch our TSP accounts and worry about any drops. I don't get a match, so I have been contributing the max since the TSP began. Those are my hard earned dollars and I don't want to see them just go away at the whim of the market's indecision. I am thankful there is no real estate fund. I am going to unload all the real estate in my portfolio next week. Its time has come and now gone. Yes, stay diversified and stay the course.

Reaganomics vs Priviatization

INFO. SYS. MGR
U.S.A.F
Wed Aug 1, 2007 2:42 PM

Post Reply

Well everyone, are the chickens comming home to roost? I was wondering when the time would come that federal workers under FERs will finally realize, that the current retirement system consistenting of 401K's and the stock market is a Fools Man Game and it is rigged by the wealthy to collect the commissions while taking little or any risk at all!

Ya gotta admit that Reagan and the boys---back in the 80's really appeased his backers in the stock market who stood to gain billions of dollars by switching Federal pensions over from CSRS to FERS!!!!

How much would any of you guys want to bet the folks at the top of the stock market pryimad did not loose money, but in fact made money.....all off the backs of those hard working Federal empolyees!

This was done b/c at the top of this ponzi scheme called the stock market had insider information, it was done b/c they folks use their power and money to influence who gets into the W.H. who will continue to allow them to grow wealthier.

Re: Reaganomics vs Priviatization

hr specialist
dod agency
Wed Aug 1, 2007 2:46 PM
There are virtually no defined benefit plans left. The FERS system is better than most 401(k) plans and the TSP plan has lower expenses than any other mutual fund.

While complaining loudly about the system and how you feel you have been treated unfairly, remember that your system is better than those that are paying our salaries--with half the average salary of the average federal employee.

Your cynicism is unwarranted and sounds like a rant without any facts. Any stock market investor who is broadly invested will lose money in a down market. Most of us have done very well in the TSP over time.

Please go back to your union meeting and complain some more. Perhaps you will feel better but spare the rest of us from your whining.

Re: Reaganomics vs Priviatization

INFO. SYS. MGR
U.S.A.F
Wed Aug 1, 2007 3:20 PM
Are you really serious?

The American people are in La-la land. If they had any idea of what the Federal Reserve was up to, they’d be out on the streets waving fists and pitchforks. Instead, they go about our business like nothing is wrong.

What is it that people don’t understand about the trade deficit? It’s not rocket science. The Current Account Deficit is over $800 billion a year. That means that we are spending more than we are making and savaging the dollar in the process. Presently, we need more than $2 billion of foreign investment per day just to keep the wheels from coming off the cart.

Surely you know the current trade imbalances are unsustainable and will probably trigger major economic disruptions that will thrust us towards a global recession. Still, Washington and the Fed stubbornly resist any change in policy that might reduce overconsumption or reverse present trends.

It’s madness b/c ultimately the debt our country is in will play havoc on our retirements!!

Re: Reaganomics vs Priviatization

Supervisor
DOAA
Wed Aug 1, 2007 3:40 PM
Info Sys Mgr, you really think the stock market is a ponzi scheme and a conspiracy to benefit White House residents at the expense of the rest of us? Please tell us your joking..

Re: Reaganomics vs Priviatization

IT Specialist
USDA
Wed Aug 1, 2007 4:44 PM
Info Sys. Mgr: be sure not to spill your Kool Aid on your keyboard when you are typing your rants about a select group of individuals controlling the performance of the stock market. Or better yet, keep them to yourself.

Re: Reaganomics vs Priviatization

INFO. SYS. MGR
U.S.A.F
Wed Aug 1, 2007 5:19 PM
Supervisor & IT Spec. while both of you are great "Ranters" in your own right! Surely, you cannot ignore the mounting debt and 100's of billions in our trade deficit.
Prior to Reagan coming into office in the 80's, this country was not a debtor nation! 20 years of Republican Presidents and economic policies and 8 years of the policies from the stealth Republican named Clinton; is the reason why we have an unbalanced trade deficits, and over 10 trillion dollar national debt w/ countries like China, Japan, and Saudi Arabia buying up our debt by purchasing Treasure Bills.
These countries will only hold on to these treasure bills so long as the dollar remains reasonable strong and sound!! Should the dollar no longer remain strong due to our ever rising trade decfits and national debt and China, Japan and the Saudi's decide to start dumping America Debt, this would make the great depression look like a 4th of July holiday and plunge our country into a third world financial basket case.

Re: Reaganomics vs Priviatization

Supervisor
DOAA
Thu Aug 2, 2007 8:34 AM
You compare the CSRS to FERS conversion to a Ponzi scheme and carry on about 401Ks and the stock market being fools games.. and you call us ranters? Talk about the pot calling the kettle black. Why don’t you stop your whining and discuss what this article is actually about?? (which is how your TSP allocation may or may not be affected by the current market conditions in case you need reminding)

Re: Reaganomics vs Priviatization

Health Physicist
DON
Thu Aug 2, 2007 8:38 AM
Info mgr,

You are sadly mistaken if you believe for a minute that those listed countries will ever dump our treasury notes ever! They are dependant on our markets to sell their goods and would have no one to sell to if our economy truly tanked as you suggest. That would mean certain death for their economies as well. No, they are as dependant on us as we are them. This deficit as you speak of will never go away. And more importantly, it doesn't have to.

Re: Reaganomics vs Priviatization

Admin Asst
DHS
Thu Aug 2, 2007 9:54 AM
Let me guess... the solution from our friend from the USAF is to liquidate everything and stuff all the proceeds into a mattress. right?

TSP

IT Spec
DoD
Wed Aug 1, 2007 3:00 PM

Post Reply

Unlike back in February, I don't believe this mortgage problem is over with and won't be until the end of the year. Yes, you made back your money and some in February but this is a horse of a different color. You cannot pick up a newspaper or turn the new on unless they are letting you know criticality of the foreclosures. Have you visited Florida lately? And, they are still building super condo there ....You multiple that by California, Arizona, etc.,and, of course, the government will eventually have to bale these mortgage companies out when the foreclosures reach paramont portions.

Total Comments: 23
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