Readers' Comments
Total Comments: 18
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TSP Interfund Transfers Soar in January
Total Comments: 18
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| Close | Change | YTD | |
| G | $12.7116 | +0.0013 | +3.51% |
| F | $12.1775 | +0.0497 | +2.07% |
| C | $9.4002 | -0.9235 | -43.24% |
| S | $10.4051 | -1.2566 | -47.42% |
| I | $12.2414 | -0.9997 | -50.56% |
| Close | Change | YTD | |
| L 2040 | $11.1768 | -0.8749 | -38.72% |
| L 2030 | $11.4481 | -0.7783 | -34.24% |
| L 2020 | $11.8446 | -0.6618 | -28.86% |
| L 2010 | $13.2444 | -0.3625 | -14.33% |
| L Income | $12.4113 | -0.2200 | -7.86% |
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TSP Interfund Transfers Soar in January
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Bouncing Ball
Homeland Security
Tue Mar 4, 2008 2:09 PM
Post Reply
Forget the terminology "market timing", and use "contrarian timing" instead. Buy when everyone's selling (usually the third day of deep losses) and sell when everyone's breathing a sigh of relief and coasting along, believing the market will do just fine. Basically, the ball bounces lower 3 times, each time lower than the previous bounce -- just wait for the third low bounce for the lowest price. After the third bounce, buyers normally come back, called bottom-fishing. I had 100% in the G Fund at the first of the year, then bought into the I-fund on the worst two days, January 22 and 23 (50% each day), and then sold 100% back into the G Fund last Friday when I saw that we were looking at another cycle of a lower bouncing ball. Total profit 4.6% - not bad for a two-month investment. And no financial penalty for frequent trading. I'm not claiming it will happen again, but if I can repeat last year's "contrarian timing" of 13.6% profit (excludes my contributions), I'll be content.