March inflation jumped due to the Iran war, raising early 2027 COLA projections and adding uncertainty. The final outcome now depends on energy prices this summer.
Federal retirees face COLA gaps and inflation risk. A balanced TSP strategy and financial margin are key to protecting long-term purchasing power.
Inflation is moderate, suggesting a 2027 COLA of 2–3%. However, oil prices and geopolitical risks could raise inflation before the October finalization.
The June inflation data are likely to result in a higher 2026 COLA projection than the 2025 increase of 2.5%.
Inflation erodes retirement savings over time. Without growth investments, pensions and savings may lose value, especially before age 62.
Inflation is at its lowest level since February 2021, just before it started rapidly increasing along with COLA rates for federal retirees.
Investment returns change as the markets change. Diversification decreases risk. Are TSP investors adequately invested in the I Fund? And what did the CPI do in March?
Inflation was lower than projected in February. Federal employees are stressed. TSP prices are down. Here are latest big cuts in a federal agency and projected 2026 COLA.
Inflation is not dead, and the projected 2026 COLA is 2.5%. Here is a comparison of COLA and GS pay raises over 10 years.
America had an election and inflation was a factor for voters. The stock market is booming. Here are the latest inflation figures and how the COLA compares to pay raises over time.
